Delhi Exit Polls: In a major shift in the political landscape of Delhi, Axis My India’s exit poll has also forecasted a decisive landslide victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025, with Pradeep Gupta of Axis My India predicting a sharp decline in the Aam Aadmi Party’s (AAP) vote share. This shift could mark the end of AAP’s 11-year-long rule in the national capital.
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The Axis My India exit poll, released on Thursday, forecasts that the BJP will secure between 45-55 seats in the 70-member Delhi Assembly, well above the majority mark of 36 seats. In contrast, the AAP is projected to slump significantly, winning only between 15-25 seats, a dramatic fall from its 2020 performance. The Congress party’s impact is expected to be minimal, with projections showing the party winning just 0-1 seat.
The BJP’s vote share in the exit poll stands at 48 percent, a substantial increase compared to the AAP’s predicted 42 percent. Meanwhile, Congress is expected to secure a modest 7 percent of the vote share, continuing its decline in the capital.
Key Constituencies and Projections
In the South Delhi region, the exit poll indicates a tight contest, with both the BJP and AAP projected to win 5 seats each. In North-East Delhi, the BJP is expected to dominate with 6 seats, while AAP is likely to secure 4 seats. Furthermore, the BJP is predicted to secure 7 out of 10 seats in the Chandni Chowk Lok Sabha constituency, with AAP winning 3 seats.
In New Delhi Lok Sabha, the BJP is forecasted to win 7 seats in the assembly, while the AAP is expected to win only 3 seats. The West Delhi Lok Sabha seat shows a strong performance for the BJP, which is predicted to win 8 assembly seats, compared to 2 seats for AAP. The East Delhi Lok Sabha seat is also projected to favor the BJP, which is likely to win 6 of 8 assembly seats, with the AAP winning just 2 seats.
Delhi Exit Polls: Historical Context: A Changing Political Climate
The exit poll results represent a significant turnaround for the BJP in the Delhi Elections 2025. In the 2020 Delhi Assembly Elections, the AAP had emerged victorious with an overwhelming 54 percent vote share, while the BJP had secured 39 percent of the votes. This marked a remarkable rise for AAP in the national capital at the time, but now the tables appear to have turned, according to the Axis My India predictions.
The BJP’s resurgence in the capital is likely to have major implications for Delhi’s political future, potentially ending the long reign of Arvind Kejriwal and his party. Analysts speculate that this shift could be driven by factors such as dissatisfaction with AAP’s governance, a rising wave of support for the BJP at the national level, and changing voter priorities.
Delhi Exit Polls: Final Thoughts: What Lies Ahead
If the Axis My India exit poll proves accurate, Delhi’s political scene will witness a major transformation. The dramatic decline in AAP’s influence marks a clear departure from its previous dominance, while the BJP’s resurgence sets the stage for a renewed battle for Delhi’s political future.
As the vote counting day approaches, the eyes of the nation will be fixed on Delhi, awaiting the final results that will determine the next chapter in the capital’s governance.
